Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.