Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.