Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.