Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.