Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
