Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Cerrito.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Maldonado
Sunday, August 7 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, August 7 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Fenix | 24 | 0 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maldonado | 24 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | River Plate | 24 | 9 | 36 |
Last Game: Cerrito 0-3 Boston River
Saturday, August 6 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, August 6 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 24 | -17 | 22 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 24 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 24 | -32 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerrito |
48.55% ( 0.02) | 27.91% ( 0) | 23.54% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.44% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
