Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerrito.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, July 17 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, July 17 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 21 | 16 | 43 |
| 2 | Nacional | 20 | 25 | 41 |
| 3 | Boston River | 21 | 9 | 40 |
Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Cerrito
Saturday, July 16 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, July 16 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Plaza Colonia | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 21 | -11 | 18 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 20 | -23 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 70.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.4%) and 3-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Cerrito |
70.36% ( 0.14) | 19.84% ( -0.11) | 9.8% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 36.86% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
