Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerrito.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
