Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.84) 
