Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
