Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Halmstads BK win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Degerfors would win this match.