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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 0-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
18.89% (![]() | 20.73% (![]() | 60.37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.72% (![]() | 39.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.39% (![]() | 61.61% (![]() |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.7% (![]() | 34.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29% (![]() | 71% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.37% (![]() | 12.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.24% (![]() | 38.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 5.13% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 2.92% Total : 18.89% | 1-1 @ 9.59% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.27% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.96% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 3.73% Total : 60.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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