Elche won at Mallorca last month, so it would not be a complete shock to see the visitors triumph here, but we are finding it difficult to back an away success. Osasuna will be full of confidence following their Copa del Rey triumph and should be able to claim all three points here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Osasuna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
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