| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Arouca | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 11 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Vizela | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Famalicao | 5 | -5 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 59.98% ( | 24.1% ( | 15.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.42% ( | 57.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.64% ( | 78.36% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( | 19.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.38% ( | 50.61% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.22% ( | 48.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.2% ( | 83.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 15.4% ( 2-0 @ 12.77% ( 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 3-0 @ 7.06% ( 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 59.97% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 2-2 @ 3.29% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 1-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 |
| 2 | Porto | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 15 | 37 | 54 |
| 3 | Braga | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 49 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 47 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 40 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 34 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
| 8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 |
| 9 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 22 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 16 |
| 17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 15 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 12 |
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