Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
