Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
