Buxton 2-1 Spennymoor Town - National League North - April 1, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Spennymoor Town
51.55% ( 0.06)	23.84% ( -0.02)	24.61% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 55.1% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.8% (

0.05)

46.2% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.5% (

0.05)

68.49% (

-0.05)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.07% (

0.04)

17.93% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.25% (

0.07)

48.75% (

-0.07)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.13% (

-0.01)

32.86% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.56% (

-0.01)

69.43% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Buxton 51.54%

Spennymoor Town 24.61%

Draw 23.84%

Buxton	Draw	Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 51.54%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.84%	0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 24.61%