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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Santa Clara

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Santa Clara

Paulinho (14'), Trincao (22'), Edwards (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sagna (45+2'), Misao (77'), MT (81'), Adriano (85'), Babi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Sporting Lisbon (3-5 pen.)
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Rio Ave
Friday, March 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Santa Clara

 Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, Sporting Lisbon will fancy their chances against bottom-dwellers Santa Clara. Buoyed by their impressive result over Arsenal in Europe, we predict that Amorim's men will continue where they dropped off last time out and claim a comfortable home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 6.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.93%) and 1-0 (11.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSanta Clara
78.95% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 14.35% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03) 6.7% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 40.08% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.69% (0.1 0.1)41.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (0.101 0.1)63.71% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.53% (0.033000000000001 0.03)8.47% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.63% (0.085999999999999 0.09)29.37% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.79% (0.030000000000001 0.03)56.21% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)88.59% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 78.93%
    Santa Clara 6.7%
    Draw 14.35%
Sporting LisbonDrawSanta Clara
2-0 @ 14.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 11.93%
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 7.37% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.25% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.64% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 1.5% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 78.93%
1-1 @ 6.77% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 14.35%
0-1 @ 2.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 6.7%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Santa Clara

Sporting Lisbon
96.2%
Draw
0.0%
Santa Clara
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3.30pm
Santa Clara
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Tagawa (90+5')
Morita (29'), Santos (90')
May 14, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
4-0
Santa Clara
Tabata (41'), Porro (51'), Sarabia (56'), Edwards (78')
Braganca (71')

Oliveira (69'), Gomez (75')
Jan 26, 2022 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Santa Clara
Villanueva (40' og.), Sarabia (65' pen.)
Esgaio (23'), Esteves (90+8')
Lincoln (32')
Carvalho (24'), Crysan (34'), Henrique (90+8')
Costa (63')
Jan 7, 2022 6.30pm
Santa Clara
3-2
Sporting Lisbon
Patric (30'), Lincoln (51'), Antonio (78')
Boateng (60'), Carvalho (62'), Mansur (75'), Costa (79'), Bouldini (88'), Pereira (90+4')
Palhinha (10'), Sarabia (50')
Reis (14'), Paulinho (17'), Esgaio (82')
Braganca (90+3')
Mar 5, 2021 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Santa Clara
Goncalves (22'), Coates (90+3')
Costa (84')
Carvalho (41'), Cardoso (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon29216275245169
2Benfica28222469234668
3Porto29185655253059
4Braga28176545242157
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes291212541291248
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara29144112828046
7FamalicaoFamalicao29111083831743
8Casa Pia29117113437-340
9Estoril PraiaEstoril29109103846-839
10MoreirenseMoreirense2898113439-535
11Nacional2995152738-1132
12AroucaArouca2878132743-1629
13Rio AveRio Ave2878133047-1729
14Gil Vicente2968152743-1626
15Estrela Amadora2868142241-1926
16AVS28411132144-2323
17SC FarenseFarense2839161940-2118
18BoavistaBoavista2946191947-2818
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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