Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Santa Clara
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Sporting Lisbon (3-5 pen.)
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Rio Ave
Friday, March 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, March 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Santa Clara
Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, Sporting Lisbon will fancy their chances against bottom-dwellers Santa Clara. Buoyed by their impressive result over Arsenal in Europe, we predict that Amorim's men will continue where they dropped off last time out and claim a comfortable home victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 6.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.93%) and 1-0 (11.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
78.95% ( 0.05) | 14.35% ( -0.03) | 6.7% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.08% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
