MX23RW : Friday, May 19 10:17:00| >> :120:44328:44328:
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
MCH Arena
Sporting Lisbon
Midtjylland
0 - 4
Sporting Lisbon

Paulinho (36'), Ashour (74'), Gigovic (90')
Paulinho (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coates (21'), Goncalves (50', 77'), Gartenmann (85' og.)
Esgaio (33'), Ugarte (74')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Midtjylland and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Viborg 0-4 Midtjylland
Monday, February 20 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

We said: FC Midtjylland 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Having failed to come out on top at home, Sporting Lisbon are in for a tough 90 minutes at the MCH Arena, where Midtjylland have shown resilience in recent weeks. While the Danish outfit will look to build on last week's result, Amorim's side boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to get this one over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawSporting Lisbon
24.19% (0.221 0.22) 23.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 51.85% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.26% (0.298 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.91% (0.281 0.28)47.08% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.67% (0.262 0.26)69.32% (-0.264 -0.26)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (0.343 0.34)33.7% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64% (0.372 0.37)70.36% (-0.375 -0.38)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (0.027000000000001 0.03)18.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88% (0.045999999999999 0.05)49.12% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 24.19%
    Sporting Lisbon 51.84%
    Draw 23.96%
FC MidtjyllandDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.17% (0.049 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.62% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 24.19%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 10.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 51.84%

How you voted: Midtjylland vs Sporting Lisbon

FC Midtjylland
19.6%
Draw
12.6%
Sporting Lisbon
67.8%
230
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Midtjylland
Coates (90+4')
Coates (88'), Tanlongo (90+3')
Ashour (77')
Martinez (63'), Isaksen (83'), Gigovic (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!