Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon
2 - 2
Arsenal
The Match
Match Report
A freak own goal saves Arsenal's bacon as the Gunners rescue a 2-2 draw in the first leg of their Europa League last-16 tie against Sporting Lisbon.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Arsenal.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Thursday's Europa League last-16 first leg against Sporting Lisbon.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Europa League last-16 first leg with Sporting Lisbon.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portimonense 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arsenal 3-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Arsenal |
34.66% ( 0.16) | 25.39% ( 0) | 39.94% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.1% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
