Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 82.61%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.25%) and 4-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.4%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal | Draw | Bournemouth |
82.61% (![]() | 11.49% (![]() | 5.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.08% (![]() | 29.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.91% (![]() | 51.09% (![]() |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.67% (![]() | 5.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.05% (![]() | 20.94% (![]() |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.73% (![]() | 50.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.15% (![]() | 84.84% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-0 @ 11.51% (![]() 3-0 @ 11.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.25% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.74% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.5% Total : 82.6% | 1-1 @ 5.4% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() Other @ 0.69% Total : 11.49% | 1-2 @ 1.86% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.84% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 5.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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