

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 82.61%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.25%) and 4-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.4%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 82.61% ( | 11.49% ( | 5.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.08% ( | 29.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.91% ( | 51.09% ( |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.67% ( | 5.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 79.05% ( | 20.94% ( |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.73% ( | 50.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.15% ( | 84.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 3-0 @ 11.25% ( 4-0 @ 8.25% ( 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 3-1 @ 7.74% ( 4-1 @ 5.68% ( 5-0 @ 4.84% ( 5-1 @ 3.33% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 6-0 @ 2.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 6-1 @ 1.63% ( 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 7-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.5% Total : 82.6% | 1-1 @ 5.4% ( 2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0-0 @ 2.68% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 11.49% | 1-2 @ 1.86% ( 0-1 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 5.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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