Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
15.91% (![]() | 20.79% (![]() | 63.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% | 44.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% (![]() | 67.13% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.91% (![]() | 41.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.37% (![]() | 77.64% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.51% (![]() | 13.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.48% (![]() | 40.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 4.93% 2-1 @ 4.39% 2-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 15.91% | 1-1 @ 9.88% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.79% | 0-2 @ 11.12% (![]() 0-1 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.61% 0-4 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.47% 1-5 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.91% Total : 63.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 69 | 17 | 52 | 74 |
2 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
3 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 41 |
8 | Vizela | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 37 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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