

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 40.44% ( | 27.8% ( | 31.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% ( | 58.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% ( | 78.72% ( |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( | 28.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.2% ( | 63.8% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( | 33.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.75% ( | 70.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.43% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
| 2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
| 3 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 16 |
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