| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Famalicao | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Famalicao | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 6 | -10 | 0 |
| 18 | Maritimo | 6 | -13 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 55.77% ( | 25.59% ( | 18.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.92% ( | 59.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.47% ( | 79.53% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( | 21.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.8% ( | 54.2% ( |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.81% ( | 46.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.13% ( | 81.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 15.2% ( 2-0 @ 11.76% ( 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 3-2 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.75% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 2-2 @ 3.51% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 2-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.51% Total : 18.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 |
| 2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 |
| 3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 47 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 35 |
| 8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 |
| 9 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 16 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
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