Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - March 12, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
46.29% ( 0.16)	25.45% ( -0.3)	28.25% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 53.11% (

1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69% (

1.32)

50.31% (

-1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.74% (

1.16)

72.26% (

-1.16)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.27% (

0.63)

21.73% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.1% (

0.95)

54.9% (

-0.95)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86% (

0.8)

32.14% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

0.9)

68.62% (

-0.9)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 46.29%

Sagan Tosu 28.26%

Draw 25.45%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.29%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.26%