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Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
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Monza
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Venezia
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Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Lecce logo

Juventus
2 - 1
Lecce

Paredes (15'), Vlahovic (40')
Paredes (55'), Bremer (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ceesay (37' pen.)
Umtiti (48'), Pezzella (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Lecce

Though Juventus lost their defensive solidity in April, they can start a new month by shutting out goal-shy Lecce and getting back on the winning trail. It might not make pleasant viewing, but Max Allegri's men will grind out victory to stay one step ahead of their rivals in the top-four race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawLecce
59.33% (2.673 2.67) 23.57% (-0.901 -0.9) 17.1% (-1.771 -1.77)
Both teams to score 45.06% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46% (0.948 0.95)54% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56% (0.788 0.79)75.44% (-0.786 -0.79)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (1.354 1.35)17.94% (-1.352 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (2.274 2.27)48.76% (-2.274 -2.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.92% (-1.586 -1.59)45.08% (1.587 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19% (-1.292 -1.29)80.99% (1.293 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 59.32%
    Lecce 17.1%
    Draw 23.57%
JuventusDrawLecce
1-0 @ 13.89% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.84% (0.606 0.61)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.26 0.26)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.374 0.37)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.206 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.165 0.17)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.32%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-0 @ 8.09% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.543 -0.54)
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.375 -0.38)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.341 -0.34)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Juventus vs Lecce

Juventus
90.1%
Draw
7.7%
Lecce
2.2%
91
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5pm
gameweek 12
Lecce
0-1
Juventus
Fagioli (73')
Miretti (12')
Jun 26, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 26, 2019 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32218372314171
2Napoli31198448252365
3Atalanta BCAtalanta31177763303358
4Bologna311512451351657
5Juventus311414347291856
6Lazio31167852421055
7Roma31158846311553
8Fiorentina31157949321752
9AC Milan32149951371451
10Torino3191393636040
11Udinese32117143646-1040
12Genoa31911112938-938
13Como3189143948-933
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3194183059-2931
15CagliariCagliari3279163247-1530
16Parma31512143751-1427
17Lecce3168172250-2826
18VeneziaVenezia32412162544-1924
19Empoli31412152447-2324
20Monza3229212556-3115


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