

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 76.8%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 8.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Lecce |
| 76.8% | 14.62% | 8.58% |
| Both teams to score 48.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.89% | 35.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.88% | 57.11% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.49% | 7.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 73.04% | 26.95% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.92% | 47.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.45% | 82.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Lecce |
| 2-0 @ 11.85% 3-0 @ 10.22% 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 7.71% 4-0 @ 6.62% 4-1 @ 4.99% 5-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-1 @ 2.58% 4-2 @ 1.88% 6-0 @ 1.48% 6-1 @ 1.12% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.96% Total : 76.79% | 1-1 @ 6.9% 0-0 @ 3.54% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.83% Total : 14.62% | 0-1 @ 2.66% 1-2 @ 2.6% 0-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 8.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 79 |
| 2 | Lazio | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Juventus | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 63 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 33 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 58 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 58 |
| 7 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 58 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Bologna | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Monza | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 45 |
| 11 | Torino | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 45 |
| 12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Udinese | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 42 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | Lecce | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 27 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 28 | 54 | -26 | 27 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 29 | 59 | -30 | 21 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 59 | -39 | 17 |
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