Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Juventus win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.