Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
1 - 0
Napoli
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zielinski (38'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Zambo Anguissa (70'), Min-jae (78'), Rrahmani (90+3')
Zambo Anguissa (74')
The Match
Match Report
AC Milan secure a slender 1-0 win over 10-man Napoli in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final at San Siro on Wednesday night.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Napoli.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how AC Milan could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Empoli
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Serie A
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Napoli
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Serie A
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
29.39% ( 0.17) | 27.07% ( -0.07) | 43.54% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.88% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
