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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena
Milan logo
Udinese
3 - 1
AC Milan
Pereyra (9'), Beto (45+6'), Ehizibue (70')
Perez (27'), Walace (68'), Becao (90+3'), Ebosele (90')
Sottil (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ibrahimovic (45+4' pen.)
Kalulu (61'), Tonali (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Udinese
Saturday, March 11 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-2 AC Milan

While Milan have been below their best for some time now, they can get back to winning ways on Saturday evening, when their hosts will seek just a fourth home success of the season. This contest could go all the way to the wire, though, as only Napoli have scored more goals than either side (both 11) during the last 15 minutes of play. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawAC Milan
37.58% (0.123 0.12) 25.61% (0.032 0.03) 36.8% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (-0.154 -0.15)48.45% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (-0.142 -0.14)70.58% (0.142 0.14)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)59.97% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (-0.158 -0.16)25.66% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (-0.215 -0.22)60.56% (0.216 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 37.58%
    AC Milan 36.8%
    Draw 25.6%
UdineseDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.58%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.8%

How you voted: Udinese vs AC Milan

Udinese
11.9%
Draw
20.8%
AC Milan
67.3%
101
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
AC Milan
4-2
Udinese
Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
Udinese
1-1
AC Milan
Beto (17')
Perez (25'), Deulofeu (55')
Success (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (90+2')
Castillejo (87'), Florenzi (90+5')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Kessie (90+7' pen.)
Rebic (24'), Hernandez (32'), Romagnoli (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')
Becao (68')
Zeegelaar (54')
Nov 1, 2020 11.30am
Udinese
1-2
AC Milan
De Paul (48' pen.)
Becao (24'), Arslan (39')
Kessie (18'), Ibrahimovic (83')
Hernandez (13'), Donnarumma (49')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

Real Madrid Until The End
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