Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Udinese |
| 57.41% | 21.67% | 20.92% |
| Both teams to score 57.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% | 40.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% | 63% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% | 13.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.59% | 41.41% |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% | 33.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.34% | 69.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Udinese |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% 1-0 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 6.5% 3-0 @ 5.88% 3-2 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 3.2% 4-0 @ 2.89% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.23% Total : 57.41% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 5.48% 0-0 @ 4.61% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 5.56% 0-1 @ 5.1% 0-2 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.31% Total : 20.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 16 | 44 | 68 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Lazio | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Roma | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Juventus | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 38 |
| 8 | Udinese | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 38 |
| 9 | Bologna | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Torino | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | SassuoloSassuolo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Monza | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 34 |
| 13 | Fiorentina | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Lecce | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 24 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 19 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 27 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 13 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 13 | 43 | -30 | 12 |
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