

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 37 | 49 | 81 |
| 3 | Napoli | 37 | 40 | 76 |
| 4 | Juventus | 37 | 22 | 70 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 37 | 35 | 83 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 37 | 49 | 81 |
| 3 | Napoli | 37 | 40 | 76 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
| 47.72% | 24.23% | 28.05% |
| Both teams to score 56.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% | 45.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% | 67.53% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% | 19.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.37% | 50.63% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% | 29.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.32% | 65.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.22% Total : 47.72% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-1 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.26% Total : 28.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Juventus | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 19 | 22 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Napoli | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Fiorentina | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Roma | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | Lazio | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Monza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Torino | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Genoa | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 | Udinese | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | Salernitana | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 |
| 20 | CagliariCagliari | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 3 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
