| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Arouca | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Vizela | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Arouca | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Arouca |
| 53.31% ( | 25.01% ( | 21.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% ( | 53.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% ( | 75.24% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( | 20.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.57% ( | 52.43% ( |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.23% ( | 39.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.56% ( | 76.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% ( 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 53.3% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 2-2 @ 4.37% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
| 2 | Porto | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 45 |
| 3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Vizela | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 22 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
| 14 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 21 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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