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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
58.38% (![]() | 21.65% (![]() | 19.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.15% (![]() | 41.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.75% (![]() | 64.25% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.95% (![]() | 14.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.38% (![]() | 41.62% (![]() |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.3% (![]() | 34.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.57% (![]() | 71.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-1 @ 9.94% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.38% | 1-1 @ 10.12% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 5.36% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 20 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
8 | DC United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
9 | Orlando City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
11 | Toronto | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
4 | Dallas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
9 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 8 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |