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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | 46 | 63 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 30 | 10 | 53 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 31 | 8 | 50 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 30 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 30 | -8 | 35 |
| 7 | Toronto | 31 | -8 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 61.21% ( | 21.07% ( | 17.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.21% ( | 42.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% ( | 65.19% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.51% ( | 13.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.48% ( | 40.51% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.31% ( | 37.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.53% ( | 74.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 4-0 @ 3.41% ( 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 5-1 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 61.21% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.07% | 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 1-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Nashville SCNashville | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Toronto | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | DC United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Dallas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2 |
| 12 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
