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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 43 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 6 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 25 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Toronto | 26 | -6 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 55.41% ( | 22.63% ( | 21.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.35% ( | 43.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.96% ( | 66.04% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.38% ( | 15.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.38% ( | 44.62% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( | 33.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.54% ( | 70.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 21.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Nashville SCNashville | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | New York City FCNY City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Toronto | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | DC United | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | St Louis City | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | Dallas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
