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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 40.07% | 25.19% | 34.73% |
| Both teams to score 56.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.23% | 46.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% | 69.03% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% | 23.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.96% | 57.04% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% | 26.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.89% | 61.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.33% Total : 34.73% |
