Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
