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National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue
Southport
1 - 2
Chester
Watson (56')
Doyle (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whitehouse (49'), Willoughby (63')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Chester FC.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford Park Av 2-0 Southport
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-0 Chorley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
SouthportDrawChester FC
29.58% (0.061 0.06) 27.02% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 43.39% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 49.12% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.15% (-0.205 -0.2)55.85% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (-0.167 -0.17)76.97% (0.166 0.17)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)34.04% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)70.72% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47% (-0.15400000000001 -0.15)25.53% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (-0.212 -0.21)60.38% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Southport 29.58%
    Chester FC 43.39%
    Draw 27.02%
SouthportDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.058000000000002 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 11.86% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.1% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.39%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Chester
5-0
Southport
Burke (31'), Dackers (51'), Stephenson (55'), Weeks (70'), Apter (76')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Southport
3-2
Chester
Bainbridge (9'), Archer (37'), Carver (40')
Dudley (34' pen.), Lacey (48')
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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