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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Shrewsbury Town
Barnsley
2 - 1
Shrewsbury
Cadden (40'), Cole (45+2')
Andersen (29'), Connell (47')
Cadden (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Phillips (90+1')
Cotterill (30'), Bowman (31'), Pennington (76'), Moore (78'), Shipley (90+7'), Bloxham (90+8'), Phillips (90+8')
Bowman (90+9')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Barnsley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 3-1 Shrewsbury Town

Barnsley have netted three goals or more in six of their last seven games at Oakwell, while Shrewsbury's wretched road form has not produced near enough goals of late. This seems a straightforward home win for the Tykes, with Duff's team expected to be superior to the visiting side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.08%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawShrewsbury Town
70.12% (0.80000000000001 0.8) 18.92% (-0.223 -0.22) 10.97% (-0.571 -0.57)
Both teams to score 43.32% (-1.16 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-0.513 -0.51)47.66% (0.52 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-0.474 -0.47)69.86% (0.48100000000001 0.48)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (0.079999999999998 0.08)12.39% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.73% (0.159 0.16)38.27% (-0.152 -0.15)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.44% (-1.369 -1.37)50.56% (1.374 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.96% (-0.949 -0.95)85.04% (0.95700000000001 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 70.11%
    Shrewsbury Town 10.97%
    Draw 18.92%
BarnsleyDrawShrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 13.65% (0.36 0.36)
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.32 0.32)
3-0 @ 9.51% (0.282 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.115 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.96% (0.161 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.07% (0.073 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 70.11%
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 18.92%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 3.04% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 10.97%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Shrewsbury

Barnsley
84.2%
Draw
15.8%
Shrewsbury Town
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
3-1
Barnsley
Docherty (2'), Norburn (23'), Waterfall (68')
Grant (17')
Pinnock (49')
McGeehan (51'), Mowatt (81'), Hedges (90')
Jan 16, 2016 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-3
Barnsley

Black (44'), Brown (51'), Whitbread (59'), Wellens (72')
Winnall (15', 21'), Mawson (72')
Watkins (25'), Long (66')
Sep 5, 2015 3pm
Barnsley
1-2
Shrewsbury
Winnall (38')
Hourihane (40'), Pearson (45'), Scowen (84')
Ellis (6'), Clark (94')
Cole (49'), Clark (94')
rhs 2.0
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