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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.08%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
70.12% (![]() | 18.92% (![]() | 10.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.34% (![]() | 47.66% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.14% (![]() | 69.86% (![]() |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% (![]() | 12.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.73% (![]() | 38.27% (![]() |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.44% (![]() | 50.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.96% (![]() | 85.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
2-0 @ 13.65% (![]() 1-0 @ 13.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.51% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.48% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 70.11% | 1-1 @ 8.92% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.92% | 0-1 @ 4.27% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 2.19% Total : 10.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 |
4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 |
8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 |
15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 |
18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 |
R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 |
22 | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 |
R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 |
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