The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-2 NY City
Sunday, August 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, August 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Toronto | 27 | -7 | 30 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 26 | -8 | 30 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | -11 | 26 |
Last Game: Montreal 4-0 New England
Sunday, August 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, August 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 31 | 51 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 26 | 8 | 46 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 |
We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 CF Montreal
Overall the Fire have been a lot livelier and more creative over the past couple of months, but they still make their share of individual errors, which have cost them dearly. Montreal are brimming with confidence, scoring multiple goals in four straight games, and they just played perhaps their best match of the season without arguably their best player, so expect them to be very determined and hungry on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | CF Montreal |
41.21% ( 0.1) | 26.86% ( 0.07) | 31.94% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.58% ( -0.33) | 54.42% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.21% ( -0.28) | 75.79% ( 0.28) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( -0.1) | 26.01% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.96% ( -0.13) | 61.04% ( 0.14) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( -0.28) | 31.61% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.99% ( -0.33) | 68.01% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire 41.21%
CF Montreal 31.94%
Draw 26.86%
| Chicago Fire | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.94% |
How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Montreal
Chicago Fire
17.6%Draw
17.6%CF Montreal
64.7%17
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 6pm
May 29, 2021 6pm
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
Sep 27, 2020 1am
May 16, 2020 6pm
Form Guide
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