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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Toronto | 30 | -6 | 34 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 29 | -10 | 32 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | -14 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | New England Revolution | 29 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | Inter Miami | 28 | -7 | 36 |
| 10 | Toronto | 30 | -6 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 51.99% ( | 25.49% ( | 22.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.24% ( | 54.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( | 76.07% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( | 21.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.09% ( | 53.91% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% ( | 39.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.82% ( | 76.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( 2-0 @ 10.08% ( 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 51.98% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 2-2 @ 4.35% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Nashville SCNashville | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Toronto | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | DC United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Dallas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
