Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (12.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.