MX23RW : Wednesday, September 6 12:25:33| >> :60:2028:2028:
Paraguay national football team
International Friendly
Sep 23, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
United Arab Emirates national football team
Paraguay
1 - 0
UAE
Balbuena (85')
Galarza (28'), Enciso (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Salmeen (63')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's International Friendlies clash between Paraguay and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Mexico 0-1 Paraguay
Thursday, September 1 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Paraguay 2-1 United Arab Emirates

We anticipate a tight encounter but put Paraguay's squad just above that of their opponents and lean just towards them for the result, in a game which could well be separated by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paraguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paraguay.

Result
ParaguayDrawUnited Arab Emirates
41.49% (0.144 0.14) 25.82% (0.154 0.15) 32.68% (-0.301 -0.3)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.611 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.746 -0.75)49.96% (0.743 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (-0.67 -0.67)71.95% (0.667 0.67)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)23.86% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (-0.371 -0.37)58.05% (0.368 0.37)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.56 -0.56)28.87% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.701 -0.7)64.74% (0.69799999999999 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 41.49%
    United Arab Emirates 32.68%
    Draw 25.81%
ParaguayDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.223 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 41.49%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.205 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.68%

How you voted: Paraguay vs UAE

Paraguay
75.8%
Draw
15.2%
United Arab Emirates
9.1%
33
rhs 2.0
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