Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.