Tajikistan
4 - 0
Myanmar
Tursunov (34'), Dzhalilov (53'), Samiev (87')
Hanonov (8'), Safarov (39'), (61')
Hanonov (8'), Safarov (39'), (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Win Thein (34'), (61')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for Myanmar had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Myanmar win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tajikistan | Draw | Myanmar |
| 53.26% | 22.15% | 24.59% |
| Both teams to score 60.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
