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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | New York City FC |
36.83% (![]() | 25.26% (![]() | 37.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.15% (![]() | 46.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.9% (![]() | 69.1% (![]() |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.1% (![]() | 24.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.48% (![]() | 59.52% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.68% (![]() | 24.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.29% (![]() | 58.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 8.42% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.27% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.81% Total : 36.83% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.56% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.42% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
7 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Orlando City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 15 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 |
15 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 23 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 |
3 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Dallas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |