Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2023 at 5pm UK

Israel
1 - 1
Kosovo

Peretz (56')
Vitor (41'), Haziza (64'), Kna'an (77'), Shlomo (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dasa (36' og.)
Kryeziu (43'), Dresevic (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Israel and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions

Last Game: Israel 2-3 Cyprus
Sunday, November 20 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Kosovo

All competitions

Last Game: Kosovo 1-1 Faroe Islands
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Greece	0	0	0
3	Cyprus	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

The first competitive meeting between these nations could be a feisty one, as a lot is on the line even at this stage of the qualifying process. Israel scored plenty of goals last year, while their visitors also offer a real threat up front: a home win could be on the cards, though, as the Kosovars do not tend to travel well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for Kosovo had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Kosovo win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Israel	Draw	Kosovo
50.41% ( -0.2)	23.85% ( 0.04)	25.73% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 56.23% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.76% (

-0.07)

45.23% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.42% (

-0.07)

67.57% (

0.06)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82% (

-0.11)

18% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.13% (

-0.18)

48.86% (

0.17)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

0.08)

31.42% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2% (

0.1)

67.8% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Israel 50.41%

Kosovo 25.73%

Draw 23.84%

Israel	Draw	Kosovo
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.57% Total : 50.41%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.84%	0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 25.73%