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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Kosovo national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pristina City Stadium
Northern Ireland national football team

Kosovo
3 - 2
N. Ireland

Muriqi (9' pen., 52'), Bytyqi (19')
Dresevic (90'), Kastrati (90+2'), Fazliji (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lavery (45'), Ballard (83')
Lavery (29'), Thompson (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Kosovo and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kosovo

Last Six:
Last Game: Kosovo 3-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Greece vs. Kosovo
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Northern Ireland

Last Six:
Last Game: Kosovo 3-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: N. Ireland vs. Cyprus
Sunday, June 12 at 2pm in Nations League

We said: Kosovo 1-1 Northern Ireland

 A closely-fought low-scoring contest is set to be on the cards on Thursday, and while the two nations will both fancy their chances of claiming all three points, we can see the spoils being shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.

Result
KosovoDrawNorthern Ireland
41.41% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 25.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 33.34% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)47.33% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)69.55% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)22.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (0.013999999999996 0.01)56.42% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)27.17% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42% (-0.13 -0.13)62.58% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Kosovo 41.41%
    Northern Ireland 33.34%
    Draw 25.25%
KosovoDrawNorthern Ireland
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 41.41%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.34%

How you voted: Kosovo vs N. Ireland

Kosovo
54.0%
Draw
23.0%
Northern Ireland
23.0%
100
rhs 2.0
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