Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Turks and Caicos win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.