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Aug 28, 2022 at 12am UK at Red Bull Arena
NY Red Bulls
3 - 1
Inter Miami
Morgan (43'), Edelman (53'), Clark (74')
Duncan (36'), Long (42'), Tolkin (80')
Duncan (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Higuain (19')
Mota (34')
Pozuelo (29')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-0 Inter Miami

The Reb Bulls have looked much more composed defensively of late, and even though the Herons have generated some positive results recently, they do not appear to be as organised at the back away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawInter Miami
58.15% (0.143 0.14) 23.93% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.92% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 45.54% (-0.273 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (-0.223 -0.22)54.16% (0.218 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42% (-0.188 -0.19)75.58% (0.18199999999999 0.18)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.56% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)18.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.39% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)49.6% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.83% (-0.316 -0.32)44.16% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.74% (-0.259 -0.26)80.25% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 58.14%
    Inter Miami 17.92%
    Draw 23.93%
New York Red BullsDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 13.76% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.63% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.56% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 58.14%
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.6% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 17.92%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Inter Miami

New York Red Bulls
63.6%
Draw
9.1%
Inter Miami
27.3%
11
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 11pm
Inter Miami
2-0
NY Red Bulls
Lassiter (29'), Taylor (88')
Gregore (23'), Vassilev (54')

Long (60'), Nealis (81'), Nealis (90+2')
Oct 9, 2021 11pm
Sep 18, 2021 12am
Inter Miami
0-4
NY Red Bulls

Figal (10'), Gonzalez Pirez (20'), Higuain (45+1')
Figal (38')
Klimala (18'), Fernandez (31'), Gomes (65', 89')
Edwards (57'), Barlow (81'), Harper (86')
Oct 8, 2020 12am
Sep 24, 2020 1am
Inter Miami
1-4
NY Red Bulls
Agudelo (39')
Gonzalez Pirez (62'), Pizarro (64')
Egbo (14' pen.), White (49'), Mines (85'), Royer (90+1')
Content continues below the video

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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia331810568264264
2CF MontrealMontreal33195960491162
3New York City FCNY City331571155401552
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls33148114841750
5Inter MiamiInter Miami33146134653-748
6Columbus Crew33101674539646
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati33111395954546
8Orlando City33136144252-1045
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC33133174450-642
10New England RevolutionNew England331011124649-341
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta331010134752-540
12Chicago Fire33108153847-938
13Toronto3397174962-1334
14DC United3376203466-3227

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia331810568264264
2CF MontrealMontreal33195960491162
3New York City FCNY City331571155401552
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls33148114841750
5Inter MiamiInter Miami33146134653-748
6Columbus Crew33101674539646
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati33111395954546
8Orlando City33136144252-1045
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC33133174450-642
10New England RevolutionNew England331011124649-341
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta331010134752-540
12Chicago Fire33108153847-938
13Toronto3397174962-1334
14DC United3376203466-3227

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